Bahía vs Comercial MS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
22.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1983 |
MIX
2 - 0
BAH
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
BAH
0 - 0
PAL
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1982 |
COR
5 - 2
BAH
57%
25%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
BAH
1 - 1
COR
45%
28%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1982 |
ECN
1 - 1
BAH
29%
30%
42%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1983 |
COM
2 - 1
MIX
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1983 |
COM
2 - 1
GOI
31%
25%
44%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1983 |
COM
1 - 1
PAL
32%
25%
44%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1979 |
JEC
1 - 0
COM
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
COM
0 - 1
SAO
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |