Bahía vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
COT
2 - 0
BAH
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
BAH
1 - 1
SCI
41%
23%
36%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
BAH
2 - 0
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
BAH
1 - 2
COR
37%
23%
41%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
CRZ
0 - 0
BAH
77%
14%
10%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
CEA
1 - 0
BOT
33%
27%
41%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
CEA
0 - 0
SAN
22%
22%
56%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
CEA
0 - 1
SAO
35%
26%
40%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1971 |
GRE
1 - 0
CEA
66%
19%
16%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
CEA
0 - 2
ATM
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |