Eastwood Community vs Heanor Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
29.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastwood Community
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
LOU
6 - 1
ECF
71%
16%
13%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
MEL
2 - 1
ECF
73%
15%
13%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
ECF
1 - 2
ASI
72%
15%
13%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ECF
1 - 2
NSF
78%
13%
9%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
ECF
2 - 1
LOU
29%
24%
47%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Heanor Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
HEA
0 - 1
MAN
80%
12%
8%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 1
HEA
48%
20%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
HEA
0 - 0
BOS
44%
21%
35%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
PIU
0 - 4
HEA
15%
17%
69%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HEA
5 - 4
ASI
67%
17%
16%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +2 |