Eastleigh vs Oxford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastleigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
EBB
3 - 1
EAS
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
EAS
1 - 1
CON
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
EAS
4 - 0
MAN
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
EAS
1 - 0
HAY
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
EAS
2 - 0
EAS
71%
18%
12%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
OXF
2 - 1
STA
43%
26%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
OXF
1 - 0
MAI
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
VAU
1 - 0
OXF
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
OXF
1 - 1
BOS
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
ALT
2 - 2
OXF
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +1 |