Eastern Suburbs AFC vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
53%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
2º
4º
2º
54
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 15 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 15 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
WEL
2 - 3
EAS
64%
19%
18%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 0
MUF
88%
8%
4%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 3
EAS
8%
13%
79%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
BIR
1 - 2
EAS
41%
24%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
EAS
6 - 1
HAW
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
MEL
0 - 1
AUC
6%
14%
80%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
AUC
2 - 1
AFC
77%
15%
9%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
WES
3 - 2
AUC
7%
12%
82%
|
56 | 32 | 24 | -2 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
WCR
0 - 3
AUC
7%
14%
79%
|
56 | 18 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
AUC
7 - 0
MAN
91%
7%
2%
|
57 | 20 | 37 | -1 |