National League South . Jor. 23

Eastbourne Borough vs Oxford City analysis

Eastbourne Borough Oxford City
43 ELO 47
15% Tilt 0.6%
6057º General ELO ranking 5331º
290º Country ELO ranking 236º
ELO win probability
39.5%
Eastbourne Borough
24.2%
Draw
36.2%
Oxford City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
Eastbourne Borough
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
36.2%
Win probability
Oxford City
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Eastbourne Borough
+60%
-26%
Oxford City

Points and table prediction

Eastbourne Borough
Their league position
Oxford City
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
22º
10º
79
22º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ebbsfleet United
100
103
100%
Dartford
82
85
100%
Chelmsford City
78
81
83%
Oxford City
79
79
83%
Worthing
76
76
100%
Braintree Town
73
74
70%
St. Albans City
72
73
70%
Havant & Waterlooville
70
70
37%
Tonbridge Angels
10º
67
70
0%
Eastbourne Borough
69
69
10º
60.5%
Farnborough
11º
66
67
11º
81.5%
Bath City
12º
65
65
12º
100%
Hemel Hempstead Town
13º
61
61
13º
53.5%
Chippenham Town
14º
59
60
14º
53.5%
Taunton Town
15º
58
58
15º
83%
Welling United
16º
56
57
16º
100%
Hampton & Richmond
17º
53
53
17º
76.5%
Slough Town
18º
50
51
18º
53.5%
Dulwich Hamlet FC
20º
48
49
19º
62.5%
Weymouth
21º
45
48
20º
55.5%
Dover Athletic
19º
48
48
21º
55.5%
Concord Rangers
22º
45
45
22º
72.5%
Cheshunt
23º
43
43
23º
79.5%
Hungerford Town
24º
40
40
24º
94.5%
Expected probabilities
Eastbourne Borough
Oxford City
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 17%
Next round
0% 83%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Eastbourne Borough
Oxford City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Eastbourne Borough
Eastbourne Borough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 2022
TON
Tonbridge Angels
3 - 0
Eastbourne Borough
EAS
31%
25%
44%
45 40 5 0
03 Dec. 2022
EAS
Eastbourne Borough
2 - 1
Chippenham Town
CHI
66%
19%
15%
45 41 4 0
26 Nov. 2022
SLO
Slough Town
1 - 5
Eastbourne Borough
EAS
31%
25%
44%
44 37 7 +1
22 Nov. 2022
HEM
Hemel Hempstead Town
1 - 2
Eastbourne Borough
EAS
37%
25%
38%
43 39 4 +1
19 Nov. 2022
EBB
Ebbsfleet United
0 - 1
Eastbourne Borough
EAS
72%
18%
11%
41 55 14 +2

Matches

Oxford City
Oxford City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 2022
BRA
Braintree Town
0 - 0
Oxford City
OXF
36%
26%
38%
48 46 2 0
03 Dec. 2022
OXF
Oxford City
2 - 2
Dulwich Hamlet FC
DUL
78%
14%
8%
48 36 12 0
26 Nov. 2022
CHE
Cheshunt
1 - 2
Oxford City
OXF
21%
23%
56%
48 37 11 0
22 Nov. 2022
OXF
Oxford City
1 - 1
Dartford
DAR
45%
23%
32%
47 48 1 +1
19 Nov. 2022
OXF
Oxford City
1 - 1
Plymouth Parkway
PLY
69%
17%
15%
47 37 10 0
X