East Fife vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Fife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
EAS
2 - 1
PET
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
ALL
3 - 2
EAS
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
EAS
3 - 1
STI
26%
22%
53%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
EAS
3 - 3
AIR
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
RAI
4 - 1
EAS
57%
23%
21%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
AYR
1 - 0
DUM
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
DUM
1 - 1
LIV
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
FOR
4 - 1
DUM
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
QOS
5 - 1
DUM
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
DUM
0 - 0
GRE
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |