Durham City vs FC Halifax Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
68.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
RAD
0 - 3
DUR
71%
16%
12%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
SAL
4 - 0
DUR
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
DUR
0 - 3
CHO
22%
22%
57%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
DUR
3 - 1
WAK
27%
24%
50%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | +3 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
CHO
5 - 0
DUR
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
FC Halifax Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
BUR
0 - 2
HAL
16%
21%
64%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
ASH
0 - 3
HAL
21%
22%
57%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
HAL
4 - 0
HUC
74%
17%
10%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
STO
3 - 5
HAL
32%
24%
45%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
HAL
5 - 1
WHI
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |