Durango vs Leones Negros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
SPT
2 - 1
DUR
27%
28%
45%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
DUR
3 - 0
TIA
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
TEM
0 - 0
DUR
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
DUR
1 - 1
MER
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
UAT
5 - 3
DUR
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
CIM
2 - 1
UDG
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
UDG
4 - 0
MER
52%
26%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
CDT
0 - 2
UDG
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
UDG
0 - 0
UAT
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
CAP
2 - 2
UDG
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |