Durango vs Saltillo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CSI
0 - 0
DUR
11%
23%
67%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
DUR
3 - 0
COL
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
DUR
2 - 1
ZAC
58%
23%
20%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
GAV
1 - 0
DUR
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
DUR
2 - 0
REB
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Saltillo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
ATS
2 - 3
ZAC
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
GAV
2 - 1
ATS
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
ATS
2 - 2
REB
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
ASL
2 - 0
ATS
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
ATS
3 - 2
MAZ
41%
26%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |