Duque de Caxias vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
36.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
DUQ
53%
24%
22%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
DUQ
3 - 1
MOG
23%
27%
50%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
CAX
0 - 0
DUQ
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
DUQ
1 - 1
CRA
54%
24%
23%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
DUQ
1 - 3
GRÊ
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
MAD
2 - 2
MAC
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 0
CAX
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 1
MAC
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 1
MOG
28%
27%
44%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
CRA
1 - 0
MAC
34%
25%
40%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |