Dunstable Town vs Merthyr Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
50.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunstable Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
STI
3 - 1
DUN
34%
25%
42%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
DUN
1 - 4
WEY
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BIG
2 - 2
DUN
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
TOO
2 - 4
DUN
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
CIR
2 - 0
DUN
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
SLO
2 - 0
MER
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MER
2 - 2
SLO
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
WEY
0 - 1
MER
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
MER
2 - 0
KET
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MER
6 - 1
CIN
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |