Dunstable Town vs Arlesey Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunstable Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
TRI
1 - 0
DUN
29%
23%
48%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
LON
4 - 3
DUN
14%
18%
68%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
STC
2 - 2
DUN
17%
19%
64%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 0
STA
65%
19%
17%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 1
DUN
25%
21%
55%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Arlesey Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ARL
0 - 5
FCR
14%
17%
70%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
MKI
2 - 0
ARL
80%
12%
8%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ARL
1 - 0
SAW
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ARL
0 - 2
CRA
49%
21%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
BIG
6 - 1
ARL
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |