Dunkerque vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
62%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
LPV
0 - 1
DUN
28%
28%
44%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 1
FCM
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
AVR
3 - 4
DUN
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
BET
0 - 4
DUN
4%
11%
85%
|
60 | 10 | 50 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 0
GOB
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
NAN
1 - 0
AUX
50%
25%
26%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
AUX
2 - 3
MON
17%
22%
61%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
AUX
1 - 0
HKS
20%
24%
57%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ANG
2 - 2
AUX
38%
24%
38%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
MET
1 - 5
AUX
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |