Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
39.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
11º
12º
11º
37
4º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
COL
2 - 0
DUN
76%
17%
8%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 0
GLE
16%
19%
65%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
LAR
2 - 1
DUN
79%
15%
6%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 2
CLI
11%
22%
67%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
LAR
4 - 0
DUN
79%
15%
6%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LIN
3 - 1
CAR
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 2
BAL
24%
26%
50%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
POR
70%
18%
13%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NEW
4 - 1
CAR
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
POR
69%
18%
13%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |