Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
20.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
9º
6º
69
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 1
DUN
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 1
AIR
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
ALB
0 - 3
DUN
13%
20%
67%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 2
KIL
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
DUN
4 - 0
BLA
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
HIB
2 - 1
RAI
76%
16%
9%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
RAI
3 - 2
GRE
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 2
RAI
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
BLA
2 - 3
RAI
31%
25%
44%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
KIL
2 - 2
RAI
69%
19%
13%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |