Second Division Round 20

Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Cowdenbeath analysis

Dunfermline Athletic FC Cowdenbeath
62 ELO 52
6.7% Tilt 10.1%
1790º General ELO ranking 5744º
22º Country ELO ranking 64º
ELO win probability
64%
Dunfermline Athletic FC
20.4%
Draw
15.6%
Cowdenbeath

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
Dunfermline Athletic FC
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.6%
Win probability
Cowdenbeath
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dunfermline Athletic FC
-10%
+4%
Cowdenbeath

ELO progression

Dunfermline Athletic FC
Cowdenbeath
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dunfermline Athletic FC
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 2015
FOR
Forfar Athletic
2 - 4
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
28%
25%
47%
61 53 8 0
19 Dec. 2015
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1 - 0
Stenhousemuir
STE
71%
17%
12%
61 48 13 0
12 Dec. 2015
AYR
Ayr United
1 - 2
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
38%
26%
37%
61 56 5 0
05 Dec. 2015
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
3 - 1
Brechin City
BRE
74%
17%
10%
60 47 13 +1
28 Nov. 2015
AYR
Ayr United
0 - 1
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
37%
24%
39%
60 57 3 0

Matches

Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Dec. 2015
CWB
Cowdenbeath
4 - 2
Ayr United
AYR
40%
26%
35%
51 55 4 0
19 Dec. 2015
CWB
Cowdenbeath
3 - 0
Airdrieonians
AIR
37%
27%
36%
50 55 5 +1
12 Dec. 2015
FOR
Forfar Athletic
0 - 1
Cowdenbeath
CWB
57%
21%
22%
49 54 5 +1
07 Dec. 2015
ARB
Arbroath
2 - 4
Cowdenbeath
CWB
46%
23%
31%
47 48 1 +2
28 Nov. 2015
CWB
Cowdenbeath
1 - 1
Arbroath
ARB
47%
24%
29%
47 48 1 0