Challenge Cup 1/16

Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Celtic II analysis

Dunfermline Athletic FC Celtic II
58 ELO 47
-2.8% Tilt -7.8%
1815º General ELO ranking 4284º
21º Country ELO ranking 49º
ELO win probability
60.9%
Dunfermline Athletic FC
19.2%
Draw
19.9%
Celtic II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
Dunfermline Athletic FC
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
19.9%
Win probability
Celtic II
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Dunfermline Athletic FC
Celtic II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dunfermline Athletic FC
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2022
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
2 - 2
Clyde
CLY
73%
19%
9%
58 42 16 0
05 Nov. 2022
FAL
Falkirk
0 - 1
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
36%
28%
36%
58 54 4 0
29 Oct. 2022
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
2 - 1
Kelty Hearts
KHE
47%
26%
28%
57 54 3 +1
22 Oct. 2022
MON
Montrose
2 - 0
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
38%
27%
35%
59 55 4 -2
18 Oct. 2022
CLY
Clyde
0 - 2
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
25%
25%
50%
59 44 15 0

Matches

Celtic II
Celtic II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2022
AFC
AFC Edinburgh University
2 - 4
Celtic II
CFC
4%
9%
86%
47 11 36 0
09 Nov. 2022
THE
East Stirlingshire
0 - 3
Celtic II
CFC
14%
19%
67%
47 31 16 0
05 Nov. 2022
CFC
Celtic II
6 - 2
Broomhill FC
BFC
67%
19%
14%
46 37 9 +1
29 Oct. 2022
CUM
Cumbernauld Colts
4 - 2
Celtic II
CFC
9%
16%
75%
48 25 23 -2
08 Oct. 2022
TRA
Tranent Juniors FC
0 - 1
Celtic II
CFC
45%
23%
32%
48 47 1 0
X