Tennent's Irish Cup . 1/16

Dundela vs Ards FC analysis

Dundela Ards FC
48 ELO 52
22.1% Tilt 8.8%
2812º General ELO ranking 4087º
14º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
34.1%
Dundela
23%
Draw
42.9%
Ards FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
Dundela
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
42.9%
Win probability
Ards FC
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dundela
-21%
-20%
Ards FC

ELO progression

Dundela
Ards FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dundela
Dundela
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jan. 2022
DUN
Dundela
2 - 2
Dergview FC
DER
48%
23%
30%
48 49 1 0
27 Dec. 2021
HAR
Harland & Wolff Welders
1 - 2
Dundela
DUN
55%
23%
23%
47 50 3 +1
18 Dec. 2021
DUN
Dundela
0 - 2
Annagh United
AUN
39%
24%
37%
48 52 4 -1
11 Dec. 2021
INS
Institute
0 - 3
Dundela
DUN
33%
24%
43%
47 42 5 +1
03 Dec. 2021
DUN
Dundela
3 - 0
Ballyclare Comrades
BAL
34%
23%
43%
45 49 4 +2

Matches

Ards FC
Ards FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Dec. 2021
ARD
Ards FC
1 - 1
Knockbreda
KNO
65%
20%
15%
53 44 9 0
18 Dec. 2021
BAL
Ballyclare Comrades
2 - 4
Ards FC
ARD
30%
25%
44%
53 46 7 0
11 Dec. 2021
HAR
Harland & Wolff Welders
2 - 1
Ards FC
ARD
40%
25%
35%
53 50 3 0
04 Dec. 2021
BAL
Ballinamallard United
1 - 1
Ards FC
ARD
53%
24%
23%
53 56 3 0
27 Nov. 2021
INS
Institute
0 - 3
Ards FC
ARD
23%
24%
53%
53 43 10 0
X