Dundee vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
DUN
2 - 0
KIL
47%
26%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
HIB
1 - 0
DUN
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
PAR
0 - 1
DUN
33%
26%
42%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
DUN
2 - 2
HIB
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
DUN
2 - 2
DUN
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
LIV
2 - 2
PAR
60%
24%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
KIL
4 - 2
LIV
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
LIV
2 - 0
ABE
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
HOM
1 - 1
LIV
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
LIV
1 - 1
GLA
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |