SPL Round 4

Dundee vs Falkirk analysis

Dundee Falkirk
83 ELO 70
-17.1% Tilt -8.4%
672º General ELO ranking 436º
13º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
61.7%
Dundee
20%
Draw
18.3%
Falkirk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
Dundee
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
18.3%
Win probability
Falkirk
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dundee
-5%
-1%
Falkirk

ELO progression

Dundee
Falkirk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dundee
Dundee
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Dec. 1953
DUN
Dundee
1 - 1
East Fife
EAS
50%
23%
28%
83 83 0 0
28 Nov. 1953
DUN
Dundee
1 - 0
Hibernian FC
HIB
44%
22%
34%
83 83 0 0
21 Nov. 1953
DUN
Dundee
2 - 1
Stirling Albion
STI
70%
18%
13%
83 63 20 0
14 Nov. 1953
AIR
Airdrieonians
2 - 2
Dundee
DUN
45%
22%
33%
83 66 17 0
07 Nov. 1953
PAR
Partick Thistle
1 - 0
Dundee
DUN
47%
24%
29%
83 76 7 0

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Dec. 1953
FAL
Falkirk
1 - 3
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
38%
24%
38%
71 83 12 0
28 Nov. 1953
QOS
Queen of the South
5 - 3
Falkirk
FAL
59%
20%
21%
71 72 1 0
21 Nov. 1953
FAL
Falkirk
2 - 2
Aberdeen
ABE
57%
21%
22%
71 74 3 0
14 Nov. 1953
CLY
Clyde
4 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
61%
19%
20%
72 71 1 -1
07 Nov. 1953
RAI
Raith Rovers
0 - 2
Falkirk
FAL
60%
20%
20%
71 74 3 +1