Dundee vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1922 |
KIL
5 - 3
DUN
47%
24%
29%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1922 |
DUN
2 - 2
STM
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1922 |
QUE
0 - 3
DUN
24%
23%
54%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1922 |
DUN
2 - 1
GRE
45%
25%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1922 |
PAR
4 - 1
DUN
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1922 |
DUM
3 - 1
AYR
37%
25%
38%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1922 |
RAI
1 - 1
DUM
77%
15%
9%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1922 |
AIR
3 - 1
DUM
70%
18%
13%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1922 |
ABE
3 - 0
DUM
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1922 |
DUM
5 - 3
KIL
41%
25%
33%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |