Dundee vs Aberdeen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 2
DUN
31%
27%
43%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
ABE
0 - 0
DUN
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
DUN
1 - 2
HOM
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
DUN
0 - 2
GLA
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
ABE
2 - 2
DUN
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
DUN
3 - 2
ABE
37%
27%
37%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
ABE
0 - 0
DUN
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
ABE
3 - 1
KIL
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2003 |
LIV
1 - 1
ABE
44%
27%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
ABE
2 - 2
DUN
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |