Premier League Round 23

Dundalk vs UC Dublin analysis

Dundalk UC Dublin
71 ELO 59
6.9% Tilt 12.7%
976º General ELO ranking 3425º
Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
69.1%
Dundalk
18.8%
Draw
12.1%
UC Dublin

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
Dundalk
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.1%
Win probability
UC Dublin
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dundalk
-7%
+5%
UC Dublin

ELO progression

Dundalk
UC Dublin
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dundalk
Dundalk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jul. 2011
STP
St Patrick's
2 - 2
Dundalk
DUN
55%
24%
20%
71 77 6 0
01 Jul. 2011
DUN
Dundalk
1 - 3
Bohemian FC
BOH
41%
27%
32%
71 77 6 0
28 Jun. 2011
BRW
Bray Wanderers
1 - 5
Dundalk
DUN
39%
26%
35%
70 65 5 +1
24 Jun. 2011
DUN
Dundalk
6 - 1
Galway United
GAL
75%
17%
8%
70 53 17 0
21 Jun. 2011
SHR
Shamrock Rovers
2 - 2
Dundalk
DUN
60%
23%
17%
70 78 8 0

Matches

UC Dublin
UC Dublin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jul. 2011
UCD
UC Dublin
1 - 2
Bray Wanderers
BRW
44%
26%
30%
60 63 3 0
01 Jul. 2011
GAL
Galway United
3 - 4
UC Dublin
UCD
36%
26%
38%
59 52 7 +1
27 Jun. 2011
UCD
UC Dublin
0 - 3
Derry City
DER
28%
25%
47%
60 73 13 -1
24 Jun. 2011
UCD
UC Dublin
2 - 2
Derry City
DER
26%
26%
48%
60 73 13 0
21 Jun. 2011
DRO
Drogheda United
3 - 1
UC Dublin
UCD
37%
26%
37%
61 55 6 -1