Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
3º
9º
6º
72
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 4
SHE
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
DRO
0 - 1
DUN
17%
26%
57%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
DER
0 - 0
DUN
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 1
SHE
71%
19%
10%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
DUN
5 - 0
STP
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Shamrock Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
SHR
2 - 2
STP
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
BRW
2 - 1
SHR
11%
19%
70%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
SHE
0 - 0
SHR
26%
28%
46%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
SHR
4 - 4
CAO
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
SHR
1 - 2
DER
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |