Dundalk vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2011 |
UCD
0 - 2
DUN
33%
26%
40%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2011 |
BOH
0 - 1
DUN
56%
24%
19%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
GAL
0 - 3
DUN
31%
26%
44%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
DUN
1 - 1
SHR
32%
29%
40%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 0
BRW
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2011 |
DER
1 - 1
BRW
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
DER
2 - 0
DRO
73%
19%
9%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
DER
7 - 0
UCD
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
SLR
3 - 0
DER
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
BOH
0 - 2
DER
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |