Dundalk vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
39.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2009 |
CAO
1 - 2
DUN
58%
26%
17%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2009 |
MER
1 - 3
DUN
28%
24%
48%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
DUN
3 - 0
BRW
51%
25%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2009 |
SHR
3 - 1
DUN
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
DUN
0 - 2
SLR
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2009 |
DER
2 - 0
BRW
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2009 |
DER
6 - 0
BUF
83%
13%
5%
|
77 | 10 | 67 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
SLR
0 - 1
DER
38%
29%
34%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2009 |
DER
1 - 0
STP
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2009 |
GAL
0 - 3
DER
36%
29%
35%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |