Cup Winners Cup . 1/16
Global 0-6
Dundalk vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
68.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
AJA
4 - 0
DUN
96%
3%
1%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1982 |
LIV
1 - 0
DUN
92%
6%
2%
|
66 | 91 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1982 |
DUN
1 - 4
LIV
10%
22%
69%
|
67 | 91 | 24 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
TOT
1 - 0
DUN
84%
11%
5%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
DUN
1 - 1
TOT
25%
25%
51%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
AJA
4 - 0
BOS
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
AJA
4 - 2
ADO
91%
6%
2%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
AJA
4 - 0
DUN
96%
3%
1%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
UTR
2 - 1
AJA
19%
22%
59%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
AJA
6 - 1
TWE
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |