Scottish Championship . Jor. 23

Dumbarton vs Livingston analysis

Dumbarton Livingston
51 ELO 51
22% Tilt 9%
3768º General ELO ranking 1507º
39º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
50.1%
Dumbarton
22.9%
Draw
27%
Livingston

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
Dumbarton
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
27%
Win probability
Livingston
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dumbarton
-3%
-19%
Livingston

ELO progression

Dumbarton
Livingston
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jan. 2016
RAI
Raith Rovers
0 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
54%
23%
24%
50 52 2 0
09 Jan. 2016
DUM
Dumbarton
2 - 1
Queen of the South
QOS
36%
25%
39%
48 56 8 +2
02 Jan. 2016
DUM
Dumbarton
0 - 6
Rangers FC
GLA
16%
22%
63%
49 72 23 -1
26 Dec. 2015
FAL
Falkirk
1 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
67%
20%
13%
49 62 13 0
19 Dec. 2015
LIV
Livingston
1 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
52%
24%
24%
49 53 4 0

Matches

Livingston
Livingston
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jan. 2016
LIV
Livingston
1 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
22%
25%
52%
51 63 12 0
16 Jan. 2016
GLA
Rangers FC
4 - 1
Livingston
LIV
80%
13%
6%
52 73 21 -1
09 Jan. 2016
LIV
Livingston
0 - 1
Greenock Morton
GRE
35%
25%
40%
53 56 3 -1
02 Jan. 2016
LIV
Livingston
0 - 2
Queen of the South
QOS
43%
26%
31%
54 55 1 -1
29 Dec. 2015
FAL
Falkirk
2 - 0
Livingston
LIV
58%
23%
19%
54 62 8 0
X