Second Division Round 27

Dumbarton vs Livingston analysis

Dumbarton Livingston
51 ELO 64
2.3% Tilt 1.6%
4036º General ELO ranking 524º
46º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
25.2%
Dumbarton
25.8%
Draw
49%
Livingston

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
Dumbarton
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
49%
Win probability
Livingston
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dumbarton
+35%
+7%
Livingston

ELO progression

Dumbarton
Livingston
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2011
BRE
Brechin City
3 - 3
Dumbarton
DUM
67%
20%
13%
52 61 9 0
26 Feb. 2011
FOR
Forfar Athletic
2 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
58%
22%
19%
52 55 3 0
22 Feb. 2011
DUM
Dumbarton
3 - 0
Peterhead
PET
42%
26%
32%
51 54 3 +1
19 Feb. 2011
PET
Peterhead
1 - 2
Dumbarton
DUM
62%
21%
17%
50 55 5 +1
15 Feb. 2011
EAS
East Fife
1 - 3
Dumbarton
DUM
62%
21%
18%
49 52 3 +1

Matches

Livingston
Livingston
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2011
LIV
Livingston
3 - 0
Forfar Athletic
FOR
64%
21%
15%
62 56 6 0
26 Feb. 2011
LIV
Livingston
4 - 0
Alloa Athletic
ALL
69%
19%
12%
62 53 9 0
22 Feb. 2011
BRE
Brechin City
1 - 0
Livingston
LIV
50%
24%
26%
62 62 0 0
19 Feb. 2011
LIV
Livingston
2 - 1
Stenhousemuir
STE
70%
19%
11%
62 48 14 0
15 Feb. 2011
LIV
Livingston
2 - 0
Airdrieonians
AIR
66%
20%
14%
62 51 11 0