Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
MON
4 - 0
DUM
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
DUM
1 - 0
COV
21%
23%
57%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 0
DUM
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
DUM
0 - 3
FAL
21%
26%
53%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
PET
1 - 0
DUM
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
FOR
4 - 1
LIN
42%
22%
36%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
MON
0 - 0
FOR
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 1
COV
16%
21%
63%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
EAS
2 - 0
FOR
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 2
PAR
23%
26%
51%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |