Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
BER
0 - 1
DUM
59%
23%
19%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
DUM
2 - 1
AIR
40%
26%
35%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2002 |
DUM
0 - 3
RAI
44%
27%
30%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
HAM
1 - 0
DUM
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
DUM
1 - 1
CWB
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2003 |
FOR
3 - 1
STE
69%
17%
13%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
BRE
3 - 4
FOR
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2002 |
FOR
2 - 1
CWB
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
RAI
5 - 1
FOR
56%
23%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
BER
2 - 1
FOR
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |