Dumbarton vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
53.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
PET
1 - 0
DUM
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
KIL
2 - 0
DUM
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
DUM
0 - 4
FAL
23%
24%
53%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
EAS
2 - 1
DUM
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
DUM
1 - 0
CLY
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
FAL
1 - 0
COV
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
DUM
0 - 4
FAL
23%
24%
53%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 2
FAL
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
FAL
2 - 0
EAS
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
FAL
1 - 1
FOR
73%
18%
10%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |