Dumbarton vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1920 |
HAM
1 - 3
DUM
57%
21%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1920 |
DUN
3 - 1
DUM
68%
18%
14%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1920 |
DUM
1 - 3
STM
59%
22%
20%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1920 |
RAI
2 - 0
DUM
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1920 |
DUM
1 - 5
QUE
51%
23%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1920 |
FAL
1 - 2
CEL
27%
25%
48%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1920 |
FAL
2 - 2
PAR
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1920 |
CLY
3 - 1
FAL
77%
13%
10%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1920 |
CLY
4 - 0
FAL
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1920 |
FAL
3 - 1
ABE
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |