Scottish Championship Round 11

Dumbarton vs Cowdenbeath analysis

Dumbarton Cowdenbeath
55 ELO 54
17.7% Tilt 21.4%
3911º General ELO ranking 5709º
46º Country ELO ranking 63º
ELO win probability
58%
Dumbarton
21.5%
Draw
20.4%
Cowdenbeath

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
Dumbarton
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.4%
Win probability
Cowdenbeath
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dumbarton
-9%
-3%
Cowdenbeath

ELO progression

Dumbarton
Cowdenbeath
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2013
FAL
Falkirk
1 - 2
Dumbarton
DUM
63%
20%
16%
54 62 8 0
12 Oct. 2013
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 4
Dundee
DUN
39%
27%
35%
55 62 7 -1
05 Oct. 2013
DUM
Dumbarton
2 - 4
Raith Rovers
RAI
40%
26%
34%
56 62 6 -1
28 Sep. 2013
QOS
Queen of the South
1 - 2
Dumbarton
DUM
67%
19%
14%
55 66 11 +1
21 Sep. 2013
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 2
Livingston
LIV
50%
23%
27%
56 56 0 -1

Matches

Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2013
CWB
Cowdenbeath
5 - 1
Greenock Morton
GRE
37%
24%
39%
52 58 6 0
12 Oct. 2013
QOS
Queen of the South
1 - 1
Cowdenbeath
CWB
72%
18%
10%
52 64 12 0
05 Oct. 2013
CWB
Cowdenbeath
0 - 2
Dundee
DUN
35%
27%
38%
53 62 9 -1
28 Sep. 2013
LIV
Livingston
5 - 1
Cowdenbeath
CWB
60%
21%
19%
54 57 3 -1
21 Sep. 2013
HAM
Hamilton Academical
1 - 0
Cowdenbeath
CWB
66%
21%
13%
54 65 11 0