Third Division Round 22

Dumbarton vs Cowdenbeath analysis

Dumbarton Cowdenbeath
50 ELO 43
9.3% Tilt 4.1%
4059º General ELO ranking 5709º
46º Country ELO ranking 66º
ELO win probability
66.3%
Dumbarton
20%
Draw
13.8%
Cowdenbeath

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
Dumbarton
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.7%
Win probability
Cowdenbeath
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dumbarton
+18%
+10%
Cowdenbeath

ELO progression

Dumbarton
Cowdenbeath
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 2000
DUM
Dumbarton
0 - 2
Stenhousemuir
STE
59%
22%
20%
51 53 2 0
03 Jan. 2000
THE
East Stirlingshire
2 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
41%
26%
33%
52 48 4 -1
18 Dec. 1999
ALB
Albion Rovers
3 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
33%
26%
42%
52 36 16 0
08 Dec. 1999
CWB
Cowdenbeath
0 - 2
Dumbarton
DUM
38%
26%
36%
52 44 8 0
27 Nov. 1999
DUM
Dumbarton
3 - 3
Forfar Athletic
FOR
50%
24%
26%
52 53 1 0

Matches

Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jan. 2000
BER
Berwick Rangers
0 - 0
Cowdenbeath
CWB
69%
19%
12%
44 55 11 0
08 Jan. 2000
CWB
Cowdenbeath
2 - 3
Clyde
CLY
37%
27%
36%
43 57 14 +1
03 Jan. 2000
CWB
Cowdenbeath
1 - 0
East Fife
EAS
35%
27%
39%
42 52 10 +1
22 Dec. 1999
CWB
Cowdenbeath
0 - 2
Queen's Park
QUE
41%
27%
32%
44 51 7 -2
18 Dec. 1999
MON
Montrose
1 - 3
Cowdenbeath
CWB
55%
23%
22%
42 41 1 +2