Dumbarton vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
34.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1961 |
CWB
4 - 3
DUM
73%
15%
12%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1961 |
DUM
0 - 1
FAL
50%
21%
29%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1961 |
AYR
3 - 1
DUM
70%
16%
14%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1960 |
DUM
2 - 1
QOS
55%
20%
26%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1960 |
QOS
2 - 0
DUM
71%
15%
14%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1961 |
AYR
1 - 1
FAL
61%
19%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1961 |
CWB
2 - 3
AYR
58%
19%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 1961 |
AYR
3 - 1
DUM
70%
16%
14%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1961 |
GLA
7 - 3
AYR
79%
13%
9%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1961 |
AYR
3 - 0
DUN
54%
22%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |