Dumbarton vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
38.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
EAS
0 - 6
DUM
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BRE
3 - 3
DUM
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
DUM
1 - 5
STI
49%
23%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
DUM
0 - 2
BER
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
AIR
3 - 0
DUM
55%
23%
21%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ARB
4 - 2
STI
61%
20%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ARB
3 - 0
EAS
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
STE
2 - 0
ARB
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ARB
6 - 2
ALB
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
LIV
6 - 0
ARB
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |