Dumbarton vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
45.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
FOR
1 - 1
DUM
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
ELG
2 - 1
DUM
41%
25%
33%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
DUM
0 - 0
FOR
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
MON
0 - 1
DUM
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
DUM
1 - 1
EAS
31%
26%
44%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
ARB
5 - 0
ELG
70%
17%
13%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
ARB
2 - 2
STE
65%
21%
15%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
STR
1 - 1
ARB
41%
24%
35%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
THE
2 - 3
ARB
25%
24%
50%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
ARB
1 - 0
ALB
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |