Dumbarton vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
ROS
5 - 0
DUM
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
ALL
1 - 2
DUM
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
DUM
4 - 1
RAI
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
BRE
1 - 1
DUM
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
DUM
3 - 1
STE
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
ARB
1 - 0
BER
37%
27%
36%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
GRE
4 - 3
ARB
77%
15%
9%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
CLY
4 - 2
ARB
77%
16%
7%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
ARB
0 - 1
ALL
43%
27%
30%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
ROS
3 - 1
ARB
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |