Dumbarton vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
20.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1948 |
AYR
2 - 1
DUM
77%
13%
10%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1948 |
DUM
5 - 0
AIR
51%
21%
29%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 1948 |
ARB
4 - 2
DUM
61%
19%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1948 |
DUM
1 - 2
AYR
43%
20%
36%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1948 |
AIR
8 - 1
DUM
74%
14%
12%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1948 |
AIR
3 - 2
ARB
75%
14%
11%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1948 |
ARB
1 - 1
AYR
42%
21%
37%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1948 |
ARB
4 - 2
DUM
61%
19%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1948 |
ARB
2 - 3
AIR
51%
21%
28%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1948 |
AYR
4 - 2
ARB
75%
14%
11%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |