Scottish League Cup Round 6

Dumbarton vs Aberdeen analysis

Dumbarton Aberdeen
60 ELO 82
4.8% Tilt 9.4%
4035º General ELO ranking 495º
46º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
40.1%
Dumbarton
25%
Draw
34.9%
Aberdeen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
Dumbarton
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.9%
Win probability
Aberdeen
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dumbarton
+26%
-7%
Aberdeen

ELO progression

Dumbarton
Aberdeen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 1982
GRE
Greenock Morton
4 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
63%
21%
16%
61 67 6 0
25 Aug. 1982
DUM
Dumbarton
2 - 3
Dundee
DUN
52%
24%
24%
61 64 3 0
21 Aug. 1982
ABE
Aberdeen
3 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
83%
12%
6%
62 83 21 -1
18 Aug. 1982
DUN
Dundee
3 - 2
Dumbarton
DUM
68%
19%
14%
62 65 3 0
14 Aug. 1982
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 3
Greenock Morton
GRE
52%
24%
23%
63 66 3 -1

Matches

Aberdeen
Aberdeen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Sep. 1982
DUN
Dundee United
2 - 0
Aberdeen
ABE
55%
23%
22%
83 83 0 0
01 Sep. 1982
SIO
Sion
1 - 4
Aberdeen
ABE
42%
24%
35%
84 75 9 -1
28 Aug. 1982
DUN
Dundee
1 - 5
Aberdeen
ABE
28%
22%
50%
84 65 19 0
25 Aug. 1982
ABE
Aberdeen
3 - 0
Greenock Morton
GRE
78%
13%
9%
83 68 15 +1
21 Aug. 1982
ABE
Aberdeen
3 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
83%
12%
6%
83 62 21 0