Duisburger vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duisburger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
BVB
2 - 0
DUI
79%
13%
8%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
DUI
5 - 0
SHE
79%
13%
8%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1959 |
DUI
1 - 1
MON
75%
15%
10%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
AAA
3 - 2
DUI
69%
17%
14%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
VIK
1 - 5
DUI
73%
15%
12%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
KOL
1 - 0
S04
74%
15%
11%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
KOL
1 - 0
MSV
78%
14%
9%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
F95
3 - 4
KOL
67%
18%
16%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1959 |
KOL
2 - 2
VIK
79%
12%
9%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
KOL
1 - 0
ROT
72%
15%
13%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |