Drogheda United vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drogheda United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2021 |
DRO
4 - 1
LON
64%
22%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
FIN
0 - 1
DRO
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
DRO
3 - 1
STP
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
WAT
0 - 7
DRO
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
DRO
1 - 1
BOH
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2021 |
DER
2 - 2
STP
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
WAT
0 - 1
DER
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
SHR
1 - 1
DER
72%
19%
10%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
DER
1 - 1
LON
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
DER
1 - 2
FIN
59%
23%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |