Regionalliga Nord. Jor. 18

Drochtersen / Assel vs Havelse analysis

Drochtersen / Assel Havelse
45 ELO 41
-11.4% Tilt -10.8%
3247º General ELO ranking 3410º
89º Country ELO ranking 98º
ELO win probability
53.5%
Drochtersen / Assel
23.6%
Draw
23%
Havelse

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
Drochtersen / Assel
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23%
Win probability
Havelse
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Drochtersen / Assel
+63%
-3%
Havelse

Points and table prediction

Drochtersen / Assel
Their league position
Havelse
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
13º
52
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
VfB Lübeck
76
76
100%
 Hamburger SV II
75
75
100%
Hannover 96 II
67
67
100%
Teutonia Ottensen
61
61
100%
Weiche Flensburg
56
56
100%
Havelse
52
55
100%
Jeddeloh
10º
48
51
100%
St. Pauli II
51
51
100%
Drochtersen / Assel
50
50
100%
Eintracht Norderstedt
48
48
10º
100%
Holstein Kiel II
11º
47
47
11º
0%
Phönix Lübeck
12º
47
47
12º
0%
BW Lohne
13º
47
47
13º
100%
Werder Bremen II
14º
45
45
14º
100%
Bremer SV
15º
43
43
15º
100%
BSV Rehden
16º
41
41
16º
100%
VfV 06 Hildesheim
17º
40
40
17º
100%
Atlas Delmenhorst
18º
32
32
18º
100%
BSV Kickers Emden
19º
15
15
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
Drochtersen / Assel
Havelse
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Drochtersen / Assel
Havelse
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Drochtersen / Assel
Drochtersen / Assel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 2022
DRO
Drochtersen / Assel
2 - 1
Phönix Lübeck
FCP
41%
25%
34%
45 44 1 0
28 Oct. 2022
LUB
VfB Lübeck
2 - 0
Drochtersen / Assel
DRO
58%
24%
18%
45 51 6 0
23 Oct. 2022
DRO
Drochtersen / Assel
3 - 3
Holstein Kiel II
HOL
48%
25%
27%
45 42 3 0
19 Oct. 2022
DRO
Drochtersen / Assel
1 - 1
VfV 06 Hildesheim
BOR
61%
23%
17%
45 36 9 0
14 Oct. 2022
WEI
Weiche Flensburg
2 - 1
Drochtersen / Assel
DRO
53%
24%
23%
46 48 2 -1

Matches

Havelse
Havelse
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2022
LUB
VfB Lübeck
2 - 2
Havelse
HAV
73%
17%
10%
39 53 14 0
29 Oct. 2022
HAV
Havelse
2 - 0
Weiche Flensburg
WEI
17%
22%
61%
36 49 13 +3
21 Oct. 2022
BSV
BSV Rehden
3 - 1
Havelse
HAV
48%
24%
28%
37 39 2 -1
16 Oct. 2022
HAV
Havelse
3 - 3
Teutonia Ottensen
OTT
40%
25%
36%
37 39 2 0
08 Oct. 2022
ADF
Atlas Delmenhorst
2 - 2
Havelse
HAV
49%
24%
28%
37 39 2 0
X