Union Sportive Fougères vs ES Dol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
5.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
6º
3º
23
13º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
80% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
67% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Sportive Fougères
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
USF
2 - 2
LMU
8%
17%
74%
|
32 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CES
2 - 3
USF
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
USF
24%
24%
53%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
USF
2 - 1
LAN
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BRE
0 - 1
USF
33%
24%
43%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
ES Dol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
DOL
0 - 1
LAT
19%
20%
61%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DOL
0 - 4
VIT
12%
17%
72%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PON
2 - 1
DOL
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DOL
0 - 2
DIN
19%
21%
60%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SPM
2 - 1
DOL
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |