Dover Athletic vs Welling United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
8.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
WOK
0 - 1
DOV
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
DOV
1 - 2
SOU
64%
21%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
NAN
2 - 1
DOV
21%
23%
56%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
GUI
0 - 3
DOV
25%
24%
52%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
DOV
4 - 0
GAT
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
WEL
1 - 1
CHE
17%
25%
59%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
BRO
2 - 0
WEL
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
WEL
0 - 1
ALD
27%
25%
48%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
GUL
2 - 0
WEL
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
WEL
0 - 2
WRE
23%
24%
53%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |