Dornach vs Thun II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
25.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dornach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
DOR
1 - 2
OLD
33%
25%
43%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
WAN
1 - 0
DOR
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
DOR
0 - 5
BAD
52%
22%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
GRA
1 - 2
DOR
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
DOR
0 - 2
SOL
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
THU
0 - 0
BAS
17%
20%
63%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
OLD
3 - 1
THU
65%
20%
15%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
THU
1 - 2
FCZ
27%
25%
48%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
WAN
1 - 1
THU
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
THU
1 - 2
MUN
43%
25%
33%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |