Dornach vs Lerchenfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
11.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dornach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
MOU
0 - 0
DOR
66%
19%
16%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
DOR
5 - 1
FCS
70%
16%
14%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ALL
1 - 1
DOR
34%
24%
42%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
DOR
1 - 3
FCA
45%
21%
34%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
LIE
3 - 2
DOR
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
LER
0 - 3
THU
17%
19%
65%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
MOU
3 - 0
LER
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
LER
2 - 0
BUB
35%
22%
43%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
FCS
2 - 1
LER
31%
21%
48%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
LER
0 - 3
OLD
22%
20%
58%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -2 |