FA Cup . 1/256
Global 4-4
Dorking Wanderers vs Hayes & Yeading United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
37.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorking Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
DOR
4 - 1
BAT
62%
21%
18%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
DOR
1 - 0
WES
70%
17%
13%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
TON
3 - 1
DOR
22%
23%
55%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BUR
0 - 4
DOR
12%
19%
69%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
DOR
2 - 1
BIL
75%
16%
10%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Hayes & Yeading United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
DOR
0 - 1
HAY
6%
14%
80%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
HAY
3 - 2
WHI
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MET
1 - 1
HAY
21%
22%
57%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
HAY
5 - 0
TON
68%
19%
14%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
HAY
1 - 0
KIN
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |